日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Finance

Expectations grow of further policy easing

By Chen Jia | China Daily | Updated: 2019-08-15 07:32
Share
Share - WeChat
In terms of monetary policy, experts expected the central bank to continue adding liquidity to the banking system. [Photo/VCG]

Market expectations of the central bank adopting an easing policy are rising, after China's industrial output growth cooled in July, although the monetary authority has repeatedly confirmed its cautious stance since the third quarter, analysts said.

Many economists predicted that growth downside risks will rise, amid subdued global demand and the renewed escalation of US-China trade tensions, especially if policymakers do not step up policy easing.

The nation's money and credit data in July surprised the market, following gloomy industrial production data which also indicated weaker economic growth momentum at the beginning of the second half of this year.

The growth momentum of the world's second-largest economy moderated in July, after a pickup in June, according to a series of indicators released on Wednesday by the National Bureau of Statistics. It reported that industrial output fell markedly to 4.8 percent.

"The growth momentum has yet to gain a firmer footing while the slowdown in credit growth does not bode well for growth," said Louis Kuijs, head of Asia Economics at Oxford Economics.

"We expect further policy easing in the coming months to help stabilize growth amid the headwinds. However, it appears that the impact of the easing so far has remained muted," said Kuijs. "This is in part because policymakers retain an eye on macro leverage and financial risks."

Slower credit growth was in line with the country's softening economy last month. Total social financing, a measure preferred by analysts that reflects overall credit growth, grew 10.7 percent year-on-year in July, slower than 11.2 percent in June, according to data released on Monday by the People's Bank of China, the central bank.

These measures include all local government bond issuance and off-balance sheet forms of financing such as loans from trust companies. Bank lending growth fell further to 12.7 percent from 13.2 percent in the same period. Off-balance sheet lending dropped further and local government bonds issuance slowed.

New yuan-denominated loans fell to 1.06 trillion yuan ($150.06 billion) in July from 1.66 trillion in June, which was weaker than market expectations. While the growth pace of M2, a broad measure of money supply that covers cash in circulation and all deposits, also slowed to 8.1 percent, the lowest level since December 2018, according to the official data.

In terms of monetary policy, experts expected the central bank to continue adding liquidity to the banking system. Possible measures could be a combination of reserve requirement ratio cuts-a total of 1 percentage point for the rest of this year is likely, and lending facilities such as the medium-term lending facility (MLF), the targeted MLF(TMLF), re-lending and rediscounting.

There will be 383 billion yuan of medium-term lending facility loans due to mature on Thursday, and analysts expected the central bank to roll over the maturing debt and keep liquidity at an ample level.

A research note from Nomura Securities showed that liquidity conditions tightened modestly in July, as suggested by a rise in interbank interest rates. The monthly average of seven-day interbank repo rates for banks rose to 2.5 percent from 2.41 percent in June.

"Despite limited room for policy easing and the authorities' cautious policy stance, we believe the government will need to increase monetary and fiscal measures to stabilize financial markets and bolster growth because of strong growth headwinds," said Lu Ting, chief economist with Nomura Securities.

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1994 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
CLOSE
 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 亚洲精品123区 | 五月天综合 | 日韩三级在线播放 | 日日躁夜夜躁 | 国产三级视频在线播放 | 亚洲午夜激情视频 | 一级黄色免费 | 国产欧美亚洲一区 | 在线成人黄色 | 成人网久久 | 神马影院久久 | 亚洲精品18p | 国产精品久久久久久久久免费看 | 日韩免费中文字幕 | 色影音| 亚洲精品免费看 | 国产精品成人一区二区 | 国产白丝av | 欧美自拍 | 伊人超碰| 午夜视频在线免费播放 | 国产剧情精品 | 91麻豆网站 | 国产美女激情 | 国产免费av一区二区 | 成人午夜大片 | 亚洲精品少妇久久久久久 | 91精品国产一区 | 精品久久久久久一区二区里番 | 亚洲一区二区三区久久久 | 久久综合影视 | 4444在线观看| 理论片91| 欧美日韩三级在线观看 | 一级黄色大毛片 | 日韩一区二区视频在线观看 | 午夜精品久久久 | 黄色av资源| 国产成人自拍视频在线 | 天天拍夜夜拍 | 一区二区三区欧美日韩 |