日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Policies

Recovery expected after plunge in Feb PMI

By ZHOU LANXU and CHEN JIA | China Daily | Updated: 2020-03-02 04:12
Share
Share - WeChat

Experts foresee a recovery of the Chinese economy in March and stable full-year GDP growth, despite a plunge in manufacturing activities last month due to the novel coronavirus pneumonia outbreak.

This came after China unveiled the official purchasing managers index for February, a closely watched gauge of activity in the nation's manufacturing sector.

The index plunged to 35.7, compared with 50 in January and the previous record low of 38.8 in November 2008 amid the global financial crisis, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Saturday.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while a reading below reflects contraction.

Five subindexes all retreated into contraction territory, with gauges of production and new orders bearing the brunt, the bureau said.

The non-manufacturing sector was hit harder by the epidemic, as the sector's PMI fell from 54.1 in January to 29.6 in February, the first time it has dropped below 50.

But the impact should be temporary and the index is expected to recover this month as work resumes, Zhao Qinghe, a NBS senior statistician, said in a note.

"The epidemic has been preliminarily curbed. The negative impact on production is waning, with the rate of work resumption picking up quickly and market confidence recovering steadily," Zhao said.

The NBS data showed 78.9 percent of large and medium-sized enterprises had resumed work as of Tuesday, and the figure will rise to 90.8 percent by the end of March, Zhao said.

Zhang Yansheng, a senior researcher at the China Center for International Economic Exchanges, said a rebound of economic activities is likely to start in March, when the spread of the virus is expected to be brought under control domestically, enabling a rapid production resumption and a boom in consumption.

New cases of infection on the mainland outside Hubei province have remained in single digits for three consecutive days as of Saturday, adding to analysts' confidence in a quicker pace of the resumption of work in March.

"We expected the economic growth rate to be higher than 5.5 or 5.6 percent this year," said Zhang. "It can be maintained within a reasonable range, if we exclude the worst-case scenario."

However, experts warned of downside risks from sluggish demand. The globally spreading virus could weigh on China's exports, while domestic businesses and consumers may become reluctant to spend due to their damaged cash flow stability.

Also, GDP growth in the first quarter may be "hit hard" given the low business resumption rate so far when taking small businesses into account, according to Wei Jianguo, a former vice-minister of commerce.

"Countercyclical macro-adjustments must be more proactive, with fiscal policy playing a pivotal role," said Tang Jianwei, chief researcher at the Financial Research Center of the Bank of Communications.

Apart from the tax and fee cut policies the authorities have rolled out, Tang expected increased government expenditure and infrastructure investment, especially in sectors of public health and new technologies such as 5G.

In terms of monetary policy, the authorities still need to lower financing costs by cutting interest rates and banks' reserve requirement ratio, as well as to improve the efficiency of the monetary policy transmission mechanism, Tang added.

Experts also expected China to further economic restructuring reforms, including improving the business environment, attracting more foreign investment and extending policies for free trade zones to other regions.

NBS data showed that the food, healthcare, finance, telecom, and internet software sectors held up better than others last month, while transportation, catering, accommodation and tourism saw their PMI readings drop to below 20.

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1994 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
CLOSE
 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 久久理论片 | 夜夜cao| 欧美黄色片免费看 | 日日骚视频| 在线免费观看成年人视频 | 亚洲精品二 | 一区二区视频免费观看 | 国内成人自拍视频 | 自拍中文字幕 | 成长的秘密在线观看 | 亚洲情在线 | 殴美黄色大片 | 精品美女一区二区 | 成年人的黄色 | 伊人网在线免费观看 | 不卡高清av | 国产综合第一页 | av男优大全| 超碰日本 | 日韩在线一区二区三区 | 五月色婷 | 亚洲精品一区二区在线观看 | 国精品人伦一区二区三区蜜桃 | 国产精品一区二区三区久久久 | 成人性视频在线播放 | 国产精品国产精品国产专区不片 | 欧美久久一区二区三区 | 欧美国产中文字幕 | 深夜福利成人 | 蜜桃传媒一区二区 | 欧美亚洲综合在线 | 中文字幕天堂在线 | 鲁大师影院中文字幕 | 日本特级黄色 | 在线免费观看av网址 | 麻豆网站在线观看 | 亚洲一区二区欧美 | 一区二区精品国产 | 五月在线视频 | 欧美人日b| 一区二区三区视频免费看 |