日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語(yǔ)Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Policies

Expert: 2022 GDP growth 'around 5.5%' achievable

By Zhou Lanxu | China Daily | Updated: 2021-12-10 09:13
Share
Share - WeChat
An employee works at an iron and steel plant in Ma'anshan, Anhui province. [Photo by UO JISHENG/FOR CHINA DAILY]

China might set the annual economic growth target at "around 5.5 percent" for 2022, a level that is achievable amid mild policy easing and will help anchor market expectations, said a leading economist.

"It is most likely for policymakers to set next year's GDP growth target at around 5.5 percent," said Hu Yifan, regional chief investment officer and head of macroeconomics for Asia-Pacific with UBS Global Wealth Management-one of the world's largest wealth managers.

Policymakers need to avoid setting the growth target so low that the market frets over a sharp economic deceleration while shunning a target that is too aggressive to achieve, Hu said.

A GDP growth target of around 5.5 percent can serve both of these needs, with the use of the wording "about" providing the policy flexibility to cope with lingering uncertainties, Hu told China Daily recently.

She added that a target that sets the range of economic growth between 5 percent and 6 percent cannot be ruled out. Yet this scenario could be less likely as the lower limit of 5 percent, compared with this year's target of above 6 percent, could give an impression of a considerable slowdown.

Her remarks came as all eyes are on the Central Economic Work Conference, which is expected to set China's main economic policy agenda for 2022 and provide guidance as to how the country will deal with downside risks that have emerged in recent months.

While downward pressure due to a slowing property sector and power shortages may continue in the first quarter of next year, the Chinese economy will likely see a new upturn from the second quarter as these drags fade and policy stays supportive, Hu said.

Accelerated infrastructure investments, a stronger recovery in consumption and a slower yet resilient export performance will bolster growth next year, with UBS Global Wealth Management's full-year GDP growth forecast at 5.4 percent year-on-year, she said.

Such a growth level will mark a steady performance compared with 2021, as this year's annual growth may come in at about 5.0 percent on the two-year average basis that corrects the distortions of a super-low comparison base in 2020, Hu said.

She added that the policy mindset China adopts this year will likely continue in 2022 and in the coming years, which has a greater tolerance for economic slowdowns and a bigger focus on structural reforms.

Under the mindset, policymakers are expected to implement overall stable macroeconomic policies with continuous fine-tunings to shield against severe economic slowdowns and also refrain from major policy turnarounds, Hu said.

"We think such a policy mindset is conducive to the long-term healthy development of China's economy, as it will help avoid drastic policy changes from hurting the economy and will create market expectations of steady economic growth," Hu said.

"Over the next 10 to 15 years, the GDP growth of China's economy may enter an era of medium growth, ranging between 4 percent and 5.5 percent year-on-year, a very robust performance given its giant size. Such a steady prospect has made overseas investors very interested in Chinese markets," she added.

On the monetary front in particular, China may cut the reserve requirement ratio two to three times next year to provide cushion against any downside economic risks, Hu said.

Meanwhile, the central government may scale up spending and motivate more private investment in key areas such as high-end manufacturing, green investment and smart infrastructure, she said, adding that next year's targeted deficit-to-GDP ratio and quota of local government special bonds may stay largely stable compared with this year's 3.2 percent and 3.65 trillion yuan ($575 billion), respectively.

A blue book on the Chinese economy recently released by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, a top think tank, also said it is sensible for China to set the deficit-to-GDP ratio target in 2022 at about 3 percent, which represents a deficit scale of about 3.7 trillion yuan, up by 130 billion yuan compared with 2021.

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1994 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
CLOSE
 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 亚洲欧美日韩国产一区 | 国产精品毛片av | 3级黄色片| 久久精品免费看 | 亚洲精品欧美在线 | 亚洲欧美激情精品一区二区 | 久久天天综合 | 午夜亚洲视频 | 国产视频一二三 | 日韩一区二区在线看 | 韩av| 久久澡| 伊人久久一区 | 亚洲欧洲精品在线 | 精品一区二区在线播放 | 少妇人妻一级a毛片 | 爽天天天天天天天 | 亚洲www在线| 高清亚洲 | 青娱乐av | 日韩免费一区二区 | 亚洲免费色 | 久久激情免费视频 | 日本精品久久久久久 | 久久只有精品 | 色av综合| 国产刺激对白 | 少妇视频一区二区 | 精品一级 | 日本成人一区二区 | 中文成人无字幕乱码精品区 | 成人精品一区二区三区中文字幕 | 色老大影院 | 99色在线视频 | 神马久久影院 | 国产区一区二 | 91欧美日韩 | 欧美三级视频在线 | 国产精久久一区二区三区 | 超碰五月 | 国产激情精品 |