日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Policies

IMF: China to stay big contributor to growth

By ZHOU LANXU | chinadaily.com.cn | Updated: 2024-02-02 23:23
Share
Share - WeChat

Despite a moderate slowdown, China's economy will still contribute more than a quarter of global economic growth this year and remain the largest contributor to worldwide growth, said a senior official at the International Monetary Fund.

The country's real estate sector is undergoing a needed adjustment to address oversupply, which can ultimately help stabilize economic growth, with more supportive policy measures essential to facilitate this process, said Steven Barnett, senior resident representative of the IMF in China.

"China would still be the single-largest contributor to contribute over one-quarter of global growth this year," Barnett said in an exclusive interview with China Daily, adding that the over-a-quarter contribution is yet to add in the positive spillover of China's growth on other economies.

The 2023 China Article IV staff report, released on Friday, in which the IMF offers an annual in-depth review of the country's economic status and policy actions, projects China's real GDP growth to reach 4.6 percent in 2024, down from 5.2 percent observed in 2023, as property sector strains continue to weigh on private demand and confidence.

Barnett said China's property sector has been adjusting from oversupply — more homes are produced than underlying demand — to a more sustainable size, and the IMF estimates that an adjustment of about 30 to 60 percent is plausible given demographics, excess inventories and other factors.

The good news is that, he said, compared with 2019, both housing starts and housing sales have fallen by about 50 percent as of last year.

"These declines do indicate the process of reducing imbalances in supply and demand is very much underway," Barnett said, though cautioning there remains a question of inventories to work through while market conditions vary in different cities.

"Once this adjustment is done, and once the housing sector is on a sounder footing, the whole economy — real estate is one-fifth of (total) value added — will be on a sounder footing."

Acknowledging that policy efforts to minimize the cost of real estate adjustment are welcome, Barnett said more should be done, such as repairing the balance sheets of viable developers, accelerating the exit of nonviable developers, ensuring that pre-sold housing is finished and allowing greater housing price flexibility.

His remarks came as the Chinese economy is grappling with both a tumbling real estate sector and insufficient domestic demand, with the year-on-year growth in the consumer price index, a main gauge of inflation, staying negative for three consecutive months as of December.

Barnett said he does not see deflation in China. "We don't see this decline in prices lasting."

The Article IV staff report forecasts China's CPI growth to normalize to 1.3 percent this year from 0.2 percent in 2023 as the output gap narrows.

China has ample scope in macroeconomic policies this year to cope with slack in the economy, Barnett said, as low inflation offers room for more monetary accommodation, especially interest rate cuts.

He said China should maintain a neutral fiscal policy, pivoting from off-budget investment spending towards on-budget support to households to maximize policy effect.

In 2023, US' nominal GDP growth outpaced China, sparking discussions of a widening US-China GDP gap.

Barnett said he does not take it as a sign that China is lagging behind the United States further when it comes to economic strength. "In terms of real growth, China grew last year at double the rate of the US economy."

Real growth adjusts the nominal figure for inflation to reflect the actual increase in the volume of goods and services produced.

China has, however, seen a gradual economic slowdown since even before the pandemic, Barnett said, recommending reforms to give the market a more decisive role in the economy, ensuring a level playing field between all types of firms and improving the business environment.

He added that the IMF welcomes China's continued and growing leadership in tackling global climate and debt issues.

"We've seen many low-income and vulnerable countries experiencing debt distress. China today is a major creditor country, so we really welcome and appreciate China's leadership and participation in these debt restructuring efforts."

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1994 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
CLOSE
 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 一级视频在线观看 | 亚洲性视频 | 国产最新在线视频 | 人人爽人人香蕉 | 国产黄色免费看 | 免费播放av | 日韩精品第1页 | 亚洲一区福利视频 | 超碰在线伊人 | 女同性αv亚洲女同志 | 91精品在线视频观看 | 天天精品 | 午夜黄色一级片 | 久久久久久久网站 | 少妇操bb | 免费一级淫片 | av永久免费 | 欧美成人xxxx | 亚洲午夜精品久久久 | 欧美有码在线观看 | 日韩网站在线观看 | 亚洲人成在线播放 | 九九九久久久久 | 日韩在线一区二区 | 免费成人深夜小野草 | 国产黄色一级片 | а√天堂8资源在线官网 | 波多野结衣加勒比 | 亚洲综合另类小说 | 四虎在线免费观看视频 | 四虎影视一区二区 | 天天综合网在线 | 色99色| 国产露脸无套对白在线播放 | 午夜久久福利 | 青青久久久| 亚洲热在线| 蜜桃臀av| 青青草在线免费视频 | 国产香蕉9 | 日日麻批免费视频播放 |