日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / View

Caution and commitment in Government Work Report

By Louis Kuijs (China Daily) Updated: 2015-03-06 08:22

A lower growth target is in line with the emphasis in the report on the new normal and the need to stress the quality of growth rather than the quantity. But at the same time, as noted, growth remains a key objective of policymaking.

Meanwhile, the downward pressures on growth - in large part stemming from the weakness in real estate - are likely to persist in 2015, especially in the first half of this year. Therefore, accommodative macroeconomic policy will be needed to ensure that GDP growth will not fall too much below 7 percent. Will such a macro stance materialize?

On the fiscal side, the government targets a higher official fiscal deficit but keeps it below 3 percent of GDP. As the space for monetary policy expansion is constrained by the already high leverage, it makes sense to rely more on proper (bond-financed) fiscal policy to support growth. In addition, borrowing from the financial sector by local government investment vehicles - which has amounted to 4 percent of GDP or so in recent years - is meant to be constrained this year by the introduction of a new framework to better regulate and monitor local government borrowing. Thus, in order to avoid a "fiscal cliff" - a dramatic squeeze of the associated infrastructure spending - it makes sense to raise the official fiscal deficit. However, China's government remains reluctant to accept significantly higher official fiscal deficits.

The rise in the total fiscal deficit from 1.8 percent in 2014 to the 2.3 percent budgeted for 2015, with additional spending financed by savings from last year's budget, constitutes a significant fiscal expansion. Nonetheless, only a modest part of the local borrowing from the financial sector has been officially converted into an official fiscal deficit. This means that, realistically, some of the borrowing from the financial sector by local government investment vehicles will need to continue this year to avoid a "fiscal cliff".

On the monetary front, the report does not indicate a major change in stance or operational toolkit. The government commits to maintaining steady growth of credit and aggregate financing and increasing the velocity of monetary aggregates. With regard to the toolkit, the report commits to using both interest rates and various quantitative instruments

Concretely, the central bank will likely further cut benchmark lending and deposit interest rates this year, carry out more domestically-oriented monetary operations including further cuts in the reserve requirement ratios amid much lower foreign reserves inflows, and management of banks' credit quota and loan-to-deposit ratios is bound to remain accommodative.

Looking at the reform plans in various areas, there are relatively concrete plans in several areas where reform is politically relatively easy and/or where reforms are good for growth or relieving financial constraints.

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 亚洲欧美日韩高清 | 黄频网站在线观看 | 午夜视频免费在线观看 | 国产亚洲区 | 成人一区二区三区 | 久久久天堂国产精品女人 | 欧美激情视频在线观看 | 99久久婷婷国产综合精品草原 | 国产精品欧美亚洲 | 蜜臀传媒| 国产v片在线观看 | 一二三区精品 | 爽天天天天天天天 | 日韩视频一区二区三区在线播放免费观看 | 国产精品中文字幕在线 | 亚洲男人天堂2019 | 欧美国产在线看 | 国产伦精品一区二区三区照片 | 久久九九国产精品 | 男生和女生插插插 | 国产一区二区三区视频在线观看 | 播放一级黄色片 | 久久成人激情 | 精品久久国产视频 | 九九精品在线播放 | 黄页网站在线播放 | 青青操精品 | 国产精品麻豆免费版 | 欧美日韩免费在线 | 免费不卡毛片 | 五月婷婷丁香综合 | 免费观看毛片视频 | 久久久久久一级片 | 久久激情网站 | 成年人免费在线观看视频网站 | 六月婷婷激情网 | 毛片999| 欧美一区在线视频 | 日韩一区网站 | 一本色道久久综合亚洲二区三区 | 91精品久久久久久综合五月天 |