日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / Markets

Market-boosting playbook 'obsolete'

(Agencies) Updated: 2015-07-01 08:41

Market-boosting playbook 'obsolete'

An investor at a securities firm in Huaibei city, East China's Anhui province on Sept 22, 2014. [Photo/Aisanewsphoto]

Bank of America Corp strategist David Cui has a laundry list of support measures that China's government might deploy to fight the steepest stock market rout since 1996.

It could halt initial public offerings, encourage insurers to buy shares, ease access to margin financing, reduce stamp duties or cut lending rates-just to name a few.

The problem for bulls, Cui said, is that none of those measures are likely to spark a sustained rally at a time when margin traders are unwinding a record buildup of leveraged bets. His year-end target for the Shanghai Composite Index implies a drop of 11 percent from Monday's close.

"The margin call, forced sale, margin call vicious cycle can quickly develop a momentum of its own," Cui, the head of China equity strategy at Bank of America, said in an e-mail on Monday.

Doubts about policymakers' ability to prop up the world's second-largest stock market are spreading after a weekend interest rate cut and speculation that regulators will halt IPOs failed to prevent the market from tumbling. The gauge would need to fall another 13 percent to match its average downturn since 1990.

The stocks, however, rallied on Tuesday, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising for the first time in four days, jumping 5.5 percent to 4,277.22 points at the close, the most since March 2009. The gauge swung 432 points between its high and low points, propelling a volatility measure to a seven-year peak.

"Any support the government can provide would be short-lived," said Chad Padowitz, the Melbourne-based chief investment officer at Wingate Asset Management Ltd. "The only real support they can provide over time is providing a reasonably balanced, growing economy. That is the best thing they can do. Anything they do short-term, decreasing interest rates to support the market or things like that, are somewhat foolish."

The increasing role of leverage in stock trading in the Chinese mainland is making it especially hard for authorities to control swings in what has become the world's most volatile market after Greece, according to Paul Chan, the Hong Kong-based chief investment officer for Asia ex-Japan at Invesco Ltd.

Margin debt on the Shanghai Stock Exchange fell for a sixth day on Monday to 1.36 trillion yuan ($219 billion), the longest stretch of declines since June 2014, while the benchmark gauge's 10-day volatility reading jumped to the highest since 2008. A five-fold surge in leveraged wagers had helped propel the Shanghai index to a more than 150 percent gain in the 12 months through June 12.

Zhang Xiaoxi, a 29-year-old designer in Chongqing, said there is nothing the government can do to convince her that stocks are a safe bet. "I've lost faith," said Zhang, who has liquidated her 20,000 yuan investment in shares.

"With the policy catalysts, the government is just creating a false illusion that the bull market has not ended. It might introduce further measures or policies, but they will not have much effect."

Not everyone is so pessimistic. Huang Haiqiao, who works in the finance industry in Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, is sitting tight on his more than 100,000 yuan of equity holdings.

"The government is clearly trying to prop up stocks," he said. Policymakers "will take further steps, including cuts in interest rates and reserve requirement ratios, allowing social security funds to invest in stocks and possibly lowering the stamp duty."

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 美女一二区 | 一级二级黄色片 | 九九啪| 成人亚洲网站 | 麻豆精品一区二区 | 黄色男女视频 | 夜夜操天天 | 亚洲天堂手机版 | 最新中文字幕在线观看 | av永久免费 | 精品乱子伦一区二区三区 | 色网av | av黄色免费 | 欧美资源在线 | 激情视频小说图片 | 在线观看视频一区二区 | 日韩欧美区 | 久久99精品久久久久久 | 波多野结衣大片 | 在线欧美成人 | 国产精品精品软件视频 | 成人免费视频国产免费网站 | 亚洲国产91 | 日韩一区二区视频在线 | 亚洲一区a | 亚洲欧美日韩激情 | 日本黄色xxx | 国产日本精品视频 | 欧美日韩网址 | 欧美性猛交99久久久久99按摩 | 色午夜av | 欧美 日本 国产 | 黑人と日本人の交わりビデオ | 亚洲品质自拍 | 久久成人在线 | 欧美日本韩国一区二区三区 | 黑人狂躁日本娇小 | 超碰人人艹 | 欧美一级淫片免费视频黄 | 国产精品免费一区二区三区 | 欧美高清一区 |