日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / Talking Business

When dealing in debt, normal rules don't apply

By Zheng Yangpeng (China Daily) Updated: 2015-06-05 09:40

Years after college, I still remember a sentence that vividly captures the relentless skepticism a journalist is supposed to embrace: "If your mom says she loves you, check it."

It often pops into my head when I cover China's local government debt.

The country's regional governments reported total direct debt of 16 trillion yuan ($2.58 trillion) at the end of last year, a 47 percent surge over 18 months, while direct and indirect debt exceeded 25 trillion yuan, larger than Germany's GDP.

Four years ago when the National Audit Office conducted its first survey on debt levels, it found by the end of 2010 direct debt was 6.7 trillion yuan.

That means in those four years, debt had soared 138.8 percent, while GDP had expanded 56 percent.

As debt has kept ballooning, too many officials, and scholars with a government background, have been telling us that concerns are overblown, that the risks are manageable and the debt-to-GDP ratio remains low compared with other overseas economies.

That is not totally wrong, but at most, it is only a half truth. The other half truth is that this rising level of debt is alarming, borrowing constraints inadequate, and maturity mismatch problem serious.

The infrastructure projects that lie behind much of this local government borrowing have proved so weak in generating cash flow that the top authorities have had to step in and arrange a 1-trillion-yuan debt-refinancing program, with more restructuring expected in the pipeline.

Who said only Western countries have spin doctors?

For me, reporting the local government debt issue is a constant learning experience. I still remember the shock I felt when I first heard from an analyst who rated bonds issued by local government financing vehicles, that officials never consider the repayment when they issue them in the first place. I initially struggled to understand why it is, that when knowing the risks of these bonds, financial institutions still fought with each other to buy them.

Over time I figured out the answer: Normal rules don't apply. Each player is dabbling in the debt market with their own interests in mind. But if the financial regulators keep a blind eye to this debt binge, the game could end up with everyone losing, and ordinary Chinese paying the bill.

Sadly, too often we learn the hard way when crisis strikes. By then, in hindsight, it's easy to apportion blame. (Remember the global financial crisis seven years ago?)

Too often in the past, we heard criticism of the media, that they tend to exaggerate the risk and are not being objective. But officials should feel lucky if the "watchdog" press keep vigilant. "Over pessimistic" is better than "over optimistic".

In reporting issues such as the debt travails of local governments, reporters should strive to be more than just recorders or transcribers. Instead, they must deliver well-informed judgment based on a thorough understanding of the situation and the facts in hand. They must listen to sources who they think deserve respect, and write what they think deserves reporting.

It may be an over-reaction to check whether your mom loves you. But next time she says you're good-looking, you'd better check it with a passerby, just in case.

Contact the writer at zhengyangpeng@chinadaily.com.cn

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 手机看片1024日韩 | 久久婷婷av | 成人免费毛片视频 | 中文字幕在线免费 | 波多野结衣中文字幕一区二区 | 超碰人人人人人人 | 欧美综合视频在线 | 日韩资源| 极品盗摄国产盗摄合集 | 亚洲一区二区三区视频 | 亚洲精品在线免费观看视频 | 纯爱无遮挡h肉动漫在线播放 | 久久婷婷国产 | 日韩性xxx | 久久国产精品-国产精品 | 97se亚洲 | 国产suv精品一区二区883 | 性欧美精品 | 小黄文在线| 欧美a在线 | 日本久久久久久久久久久 | 国产91精品一区 | 黄色成人在线视频 | 国产原创视频在线观看 | 日韩中文字幕免费视频 | 怡春院国产 | 天天操天天操天天操天天操天天操 | 亚洲图片欧美色图 | 成人在线视频播放 | 手机成人在线 | 岛国av网| 亚洲午夜精品一区二区三区他趣 | 激情av网站| 国产成人精品一区二区三区在线 | 成人中文字幕在线观看 | 亚洲精品一区二区三区在线播放 | 亚洲一区二区三区在线播放 | 欧美久久久久久久久久久久 | 欧美黄大片 | 一起草视频在线播放 | 成年人精品 |