日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

 
Home / Voices

Slower growth, faster reform, more policy easing

By Wang Tao (chinadaily.com.cn)

Updated: 2015-03-06 17:06:30

Given downward pressures on and structural problems in the economy, Premier Li's government work report lowered key economic objectives from last year's levels. As was widely expected, China's target for real GDP growth was lowered from around 7.5 percent in 2014 to around 7 percent this year; targets for this year's retail sales and fixed asset investment growth were lowered too.

Slower growth does not pose a big challenge for China's labor market. We estimate that a 6.5-7 percent?GDP growth rate this year would be sufficient to generate over 10 million new urban jobs. Indeed, the government has kept the urban employment target for this year at more than 10 million.

Meanwhile, the government's goal to keep CPI inflation at around 3 percent?to us seems overly ambitious, given still rising deflationary pressures and declining commodity and energy prices, even after taking into account anticipated price reforms.

Setting 2015's GDP growth target at around 7 percent?is an important signal, designed to better manage expectations.

On the one hand, a lower target means that the government is tolerating slower growth. On the other hand, the target's still high level signals the government's intent to provide policy support as needed to prevent an excessive deceleration of growth.

Premier Li highlighted two "new engines" of growth: increasing public goods and services provisions, and mass entrepreneurships. For the former, the government will not only increase spending but also invite corporate sector participation; for the latter, the main role for the government will be to provide a conducive environment and lower entry barriers.

We think a 7 percent?GDP growth will be difficult to achieve this year amid a structural property downshift, notwithstanding further expected macro policy easing. In addition to a larger fiscal deficit and further monetary easing, we expect the government to ease property policies and further promote infrastructure investment by "crowding in" the use of corporate balance sheets.

Nevertheless, we maintain our GDP growth forecast of 6.8 percent, as we believe such easing measures will not be sufficient to fully offset the negative impact of China's ongoing property construction downshift.

UBS economists Harrison Hu, Ning Zhang, Donna Kwok and Jennifer Zhong contributed to this article.

The author is a UBS economist. The views do not necessarily reflect those of China Daily.

 

 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 久久久久久九九九九 | 国产精品视屏 | 国产小视频在线免费观看 | 深夜福利成人 | 日韩av综合在线 | 亚洲综合伊人 | 国产福利在线视频 | 亚洲精品第二页 | 亚洲一级大片 | 午夜美女视频 | 青青超碰 | av中文在线观看 | 日韩黄色免费 | 日韩av一区二区三区在线观看 | 免费中文字幕日韩欧美 | 日韩有码在线播放 | 国产精品久久久久久久久久 | xxxx黄色片 | 一本一道久久a久久精品综合 | 免费久久久久 | 国产成人午夜高潮毛片 | 超碰手机在线 | www.欧美com | 久久久久久久久久久久国产精品 | 最新免费av | 日韩中文一区二区 | 四虎激情| 亚洲专区中文字幕 | av高清在线| 国产日韩av在线播放 | 在线视频 一区二区 | 久久亚洲成人 | 一级片a级片 | 国产综合精品久久久久成人av | 国产区精品在线 | 久操福利 | 国产无限资源 | 欧美草草 | 欧美日韩精品免费观看 | 波多野结衣一区二区三区高清 | 六月伊人 |