日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Opinion / Op-Ed Contributors

Monetary-policy delusions

By Stephen S. Roach (China Daily) Updated: 2013-01-22 07:42

Monetary-policy delusions

The politicization of central banking continues unabated. The resurrection of Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and Japan's Liberal Democratic Party, pillars of the political system that has left the Japanese economy mired in two lost decades and counting, is just the latest case in point.

Japan's recent election hinged critically on Abe's views on the Bank of Japan's monetary policy stance. He argued that a timid BOJ should learn from its more aggressive counterparts, the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. Just as the Fed and the ECB have apparently saved the day through their unconventional and aggressive quantitative easing (QE), goes the argument, Abe believes it is now time for the BOJ to do the same.

It certainly looks as if he will get his way. With BOJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa's term ending in April, Abe will be able to select a successor, and two deputy governors as well, to do his bidding.

But will it work? While experimental monetary policy is now widely accepted as standard operating procedure in today's post-crisis era, its efficacy is dubious. Nearly four years after the world hit bottom in the aftermath of the global financial crisis, QE's impact has been strikingly asymmetric. While massive liquidity injections were effective in unfreezing credit markets and arrested the worst of the crisis, witness the role of the Fed's first round of QE in 2009-2010, subsequent efforts have not sparked anything close to a normal cyclical recovery.

The reason is not hard to fathom. Hobbled by severe damage to private and public sector balance sheets, and with policy interest rates at or near zero, post-bubble economies have been mired in a classic "liquidity trap." They are more focused on paying down massive debt overhangs built up before the crisis than on assuming new debt and boosting aggregate demand.

The sad case of the American consumer is a classic example of how this plays out. In the years leading up to the crisis, two bubbles property and credit fueled a record-high personal-consumption binge. When the bubbles burst, households understandably became fixated on balance-sheet repair, namely, paying down debt and rebuilding personal savings, rather than resuming excessive spending habits.

Indeed, notwithstanding an unprecedented post-crisis tripling of Fed assets to roughly $3 trillion, probably on their way to $4 trillion over the next year, US consumers have pulled back as never before. In the 19 quarters since the start of 2008, annualized growth of inflation-adjusted consumer spending has averaged just 0.7 percent, almost three percentage points below the 3.6 percent trend increases recorded in the 11 years ending in 2006.

Previous Page 1 2 Next Page

Most Viewed Today's Top News
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 亚洲国产成人在线视频 | 男人操女人的视频网站 | 亚洲一区二区免费视频 | 久久久免费高清视频 | 亚洲欧美在线看 | 一区二区三区四区免费视频 | 国产精品麻豆视频 | 国产又粗又猛又黄视频 | 国产一区在线观看免费 | 国产黄频在线观看 | 欧美一级免费看 | 国产又粗又猛又爽又 | 一区二区三区国产视频 | 中文字幕第一页在线 | 色天堂在线视频 | 欧美一区二区三区网站 | 毛片视频免费播放 | 久久一次 | 午夜影院黄 | 色老汉av一区二区三区 | 国产成人精品亚洲 | 成人黄色在线看 | 成人免费黄色小视频 | 亚洲国产精品久久久久 | 黄色片网站免费观看 | 久久久久黄色片 | 综合成人 | 久久久视频在线 | 久久精品一区二区 | 欧美日韩在线中文字幕 | 久久国产剧情 | 亚洲视频欧美视频 | 特黄色大片 | 久久久久久一级片 | 日本大尺度吃奶做爰久久久绯色 | 成人看片 | 国产一区二区三区在线看 | 伊人久久伊人 | 日韩在线观看一区二区 | 特级大胆西西4444人体 | 国产精品毛片一区二区三区 |