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John Kerry's moment in Asia

By Martin Sieff | China Daily | Updated: 2013-04-12 07:12

Besides, new Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel is Kerry's friend and former colleague of 12 years in the Senate. And like Kerry, he too is a combat-experienced veteran of the Vietnam War. The two men have already shown on ballistic missile defense and the DPRK issues their impressive ability to coordinate their responses quickly and effectively.

Trade disputes with China will certainly arise, but they will be resolved. But the revival of manufacturing in the US heartland and the unanticipated boom in domestic oil and gas production from the so-called fracking revolution (in the horizontal drilling of oil using hydraulic chemical explosive "cocktails") have removed the urgency and potential for bitterness on trade issues on the US side.

Kerry knows that his most complex challenge will be defusing the territorial disputes between China and its neighbors Japan and the Philippines. Here, he is much more likely to try and install a greater sense of realism among leaders in Tokyo and Manila than Clinton did.

He is likely to establish a much better personal and working relationship with the president of China and his foreign minister than Clinton did with their predecessors four years ago. He has already shown his desire to work in partnership with Beijing to defuse the current DPRK issue. And it is highly possible that if the DPRK issue is resolved to the satisfaction of Washington and Beijing both, the US may scale down the "in-your-face" active deployment of its naval and air force configurations close to China as a quid pro quo for defusing the disputes between China and its neighbors next.

Kerry will also deal with a new Chinese president who made clear on his global diplomatic debut last month that he was according priority to Russia in its international relations. Ironically, the conceptual difficulty facing US policymakers will not be acknowledging China's global status, but coming to recognize that Russia, in partnership with China, is still significant. Over the past 13 years, all serious respect for the role of Russia has been lost out on Washington.

Kerry flies to Beijing as the unchallenged director of US foreign policy. His vast experience and personal qualities make him ideally suited to improve and restore the quality of Sino-American relations across the spectrum. He enjoys a unipolar moment of influence and power in Washington as he addresses the challenges of a multipolar world.

The author is chief global analyst for The Globalist and a senior fellow of the American University in Moscow. He is the author of Shifting Superpowers: The New and Emerging Relationship between the United States, China and India.

(China Daily 04/12/2013 page9)

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