日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

USEUROPEAFRICAASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Opinion
Home / Opinion / Op-Ed Contributors

We might have been in the eye of the storm

By Stephen S. Roach | China Daily | Updated: 2013-08-29 09:52

As the US Federal Reserve attempts to exit from its unprecedented policy of massive purchases of long-term assets, many high-flying emerging economies are suddenly finding themselves in a vise. Currency and stock markets in India and Indonesia are plunging, with collateral damage evident in Brazil, South Africa, and Turkey.

The Fed insists that it is blameless the same absurd position that it took in the aftermath of the Great Crisis of 2008 to 2009, when it maintained that its excessive monetary accommodation had nothing to do with the property and credit bubbles that nearly pushed the world into the abyss. It remains steeped in denial: Were it not for the interest-rate suppression that quantitative easing has imposed on developed countries since 2009, the search for yield would not have flooded emerging economies with short-term "hot" money.

But there is plenty of blame to go around, the Fed is hardly alone in embracing unconventional monetary easing. Moreover, the aforementioned emerging economies all have one thing in common large current-account deficits.

A large current-account deficit is the classic symptom of a pre-crisis economy living beyond its means in effect, investing more than it is saving. The only way to sustain economic growth in the face of such an imbalance is to borrow surplus savings from abroad.

That is where quantitative easing came into play. It provided a surplus of yield-seeking capital from investors in developed countries, thereby allowing emerging economies to remain on high-growth trajectories. Research from the International Monetary Fund puts emerging markets' cumulative capital inflows at close to $4 trillion since the onset of quantitative easing in 2009. Enticed by the siren song of a shortcut to rapid economic growth, these inflows lulled emerging-market countries into believing that their imbalances were sustainable, enabling them to avoid the discipline needed to put their economies on more stable and viable paths.

This is an endemic feature of the modern global economy. Rather than owning up to the economic slowdown that current-account deficits signal accepting a little less growth today for more sustainable growth in the future politicians and policymakers opt for risky growth gambits that ultimately backfire.

That has been the case in developing Asia, not just in India and Indonesia today, but also in the 1990s, when sharply widening current-account deficits were a harbinger of the wrenching financial crisis of 1997 to 1998. But it has been equally true of the developed world.

Previous 1 2 Next

Most Viewed in 24 Hours
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
主站蜘蛛池模板: 日韩av手机在线播放 | 久久久伊人网 | 国产成人精品亚洲男人的天堂 | 亚洲精品国产精品乱码不卡√香蕉 | 国产精品成人久久 | 美女国产网站 | 色老大影院 | 深夜福利视频在线 | 欧美日韩中文字幕在线视频 | 日韩欧美在线播放 | jizzjizz日本人| 日韩欧美精品在线观看 | www久久| 欧美黄色一区二区 | 91免费国产在线 | 亚洲久久影院 | 三级黄色免费网站 | 国产精品资源网 | 中文字幕导航 | 色屁屁ts人妖系列二区 | 1024国产在线| 欧美中文在线观看 | 亚洲色图综合网 | 五月激情视频 | 波多野结衣一区二区三区高清 | 欧美三级a做爰在线观看 | 夜夜视频 | 毛片视频在线免费观看 | 精品国产第一页 | 黄色一级在线观看 | 成人高清在线 | 久草免费在线播放 | 手机看片成人 | 日韩免费精品 | 最新国产精品视频 | 五月伊人婷婷 | 免费在线一级片 | 亚洲日本va | 欧美日韩在线视频免费播放 | 欧美成人性生活视频 | 国产黄色高清视频 |