日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Opinion / Featured Contributors

The Hangzhou reformers club

By David Dollar (chinadaily.com.cn) Updated: 2016-09-06 17:10

The Hangzhou reformers club

Photo taken on Aug 25, 2016 shows the Hangzhou Olympic Sports Center in the Binjiang district of Hangzhou, capital of East China's Zhejiang province. Hangzhou is the host city for the G20 Summit.[Photo/Xinhua]

China put a lot of important issues on the G20 agenda for the summit that it hosted in Hangzhou this weekend—green financing, sustainable infrastructure and development of the poorest countries, to name a few. But, as usual, global growth was at the center of the discussions.

Global growth continues to disappoint. A year ago the IMF was projecting 3.8 percent growth of world output in 2016; its latest update has marked that down to 3.1 percent. This has been the pattern in recent years: optimism that global growth was finally returning to a healthy pace, only to be overtaken by disappointing results. The difference between 4 percent and 3 percent may not sound like much, but it has a big effect on improvements in living standards in developed and developing countries alike, especially if the mediocre growth is sustained over a long period of time.

Hangzhou cannot do much to change this picture, but it is useful for the leaders of the major economies to meet and urge on each other’s reforms. In general, they know what they need to do, but face domestic political opposition.

Here’s my short list of what China, the United States, and the eurozone could do to accelerate growth in a sustainable way:

China: China is the chair and is in the enviable position of having solid growth this year, but its growth faces two problems: sustainability and a lack of positive spillovers for its partners. China is growing at above 6 percent because consumption has held up well while investment naturally slows down in the face of massive excess capacity problems. China’s excess capacity will definitely be a topic, if not in the formal sessions, then in the side meetings (e.g., Xi-Obama). China is keeping zombie firms afloat with lending to smooth the downturn in industry, but risks are building up as a result. To avoid a financial crisis that would be bad for China and the world, the government needs to tighten budget constraints, allow some firms to go bankrupt, recognize the losses in the financial system, and recapitalize banks as needed. Naturally there is political opposition, but history shows it makes more sense to help the affected workers and communities rather than to try to keep alive firms that have no prospect of succeeding.

The other important reform for China is to open up its service sectors to foreign trade and investment. It is striking that China is growing rapidly but has sharply declining imports. This is because imports of material and machinery have been used for investment, but consumer markets are largely closed. Consumption is mostly services, and China stands out among the G20 as being closed to imports and investment in these areas. Opening up these markets would help China create more innovative, productive services sectors (one of its objectives) and also help prevent the reemergence of an excessively large trade surplus - not to mention set a good example in a world with growing protectionist sentiment.

United States: For the United States, three measures that could help short-term and long-term growth are greater infrastructure investment, immigration reform, and new trade and investment agreements. The United States has been spending very little on infrastructure, and bridges and roads are deteriorating. With interest rates so low and underemployed labor, this one should be a no-brainer. Immigration reform includes both normalization of the status of a large number of low-skill workers, as well as larger quotas for high-skill workers. Trade agreements such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership, which President Obama has vowed to continue to push, can help the United States grow faster and create more good jobs when combined with the other policies noted above. All of these measures, even infrastructure, are hugely controversial in the US elections.

Europe: The third big part of the global economy is the eurozone. The fixation on austerity has not worked well, and the continent has not really recovered yet from the global financial crisis. Countries that can afford fiscal stimulus—such as Germany and others in northern Europe—should pursue it, addressing both infrastructure and social needs. Southern European countries such as Italy and Greece, meanwhile, need more structural reforms to make it easier to start businesses and create jobs. Debt relief for Greece would help as well.

This list usefully reminds us that these are big tasks, each facing political opposition at home. We should be realistic about what a meeting in Hangzhou can do, but it is still useful for our leaders to talk through their reform ideas and challenges, as well as exhort each other on. The benefits will be greater if the major economies are all pursuing growth-enhancing reforms at the same time.

The author is a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and a former World Bank country director for China.

 

Most Viewed Today's Top News
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 国内久久 | 免费的黄色大片 | 人人草人人射 | 亚洲国产一区二区三区在线观看 | 亚洲免费视频网 | 国产一级大片在线观看 | 欧美午夜剧场 | 国产第一福利 | www在线观看视频 | 97在线观| 青青草原成人 | 香蕉视频破解 | 男女拍拍拍网站 | 丰满少妇高潮在线观看 | 丰满肥臀噗嗤啊x99av | 亚洲国产一区在线观看 | 久久久久国 | 日日夜夜影院 | 亚洲热视频 | 超碰97在线免费 | 五月天黄色网址 | 男人的天堂2019 | 香蕉视频在线免费看 | 国产午夜久久 | 96精品国产 | 99热热99 | 日日夜夜| 亚洲成人国产精品 | 日韩精品中文字幕在线播放 | 日韩免费久久 | 欧美精品免费看 | 理论片亚洲 | 伊人影院久久 | 天堂中文在线观看视频 | 国产极品在线播放 | av色婷婷 | 欧美一区二区三区在线视频 | 黑人巨大精品欧美 | 色午夜av | 久久色在线观看 | 亚洲成av人影院 |