日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

Economy, not debt rating, will send markets lower

Updated: 2011-08-08 08:29

(Agencies)

  Comments() Print Mail Large Medium  Small 分享按鈕 0

NEW YORK - US investors will have their first chance Monday to react to Standard & Poor's decision to strip the US government of its top credit rating. But the bigger issues facing Wall Street and stock markets worldwide remain debt-ridden countries in Europe and concerns that the global economy is weakening.

The downgrade of US long-term debt from AAA to AA+ wasn't unexpected and may have little impact on interest rates. But it's the kind of news that stock markets don't need when investors are nervous. As a result, financial analysts interviewed Sunday said they expect markets to be volatile this week - and beyond.

That view was echoed by former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, who appeared on NBC's "Meet the Press" Sunday and said he expected the stock market slide to continue.

Beyond the downgrade, though, investors have plenty of reason to be selling. Last week, the Dow Jones industrial average fell nearly 700 points, or 6 percent. Investors were worried because the economic signals in the US and overseas were pointing toward trouble:

-On July 29, the government dramatically lowered its estimate of how much the economy grew during the first quarter. It had said the economy grew at an annual rate of 1.3 percent, but revised that number down to 0.4 percent. That meant the economy barely grew. Second-quarter growth was also weak, a 1.3 percent rate.

-The first reports on the economy during the third quarter have been mixed. Manufacturing, which helped pull the economy out of the recession, fell to its weakest level since July 2009. That was the month after the recession officially ended. The Labor Department said 117,000 jobs were created last month. But that came after 99,000 jobs were created in May and June combined - and 250,000 new jobs are needed each month to reduce unemployment.

-European officials are trying to help Italy avoid the kind of bailouts that Greece, Portugal and Spain were forced to accept to prevent them from defaulting on their debt. And those bailouts haven't solved all the problems in those countries.

To investors, the downgrade made it all worse.

"We are in unchartered territory and, therefore, should all brace for volatility over a number of days if not weeks," said Mohamed El-Erian, CEO and co-chief investment officer of the bond mutual fund company PIMCO.

Greenspan noted that S&P had "hit a nerve" with its downgrade. The ratings agency said it was lowering the US rating not just because of the country's debt load, but because S&P doesn't believe Congress has the ability to resolve the country's debt problems. And it warned that another downgrade could be forthcoming.

On Saturday, David Beers, S&P's global head of sovereign ratings, said his agency was concerned about "the degree of uncertainty about the political policy process" in Washington.

S&P was looking for $4 trillion in budget cuts over 10 years. The deal that Congress passed on Tuesday would bring $2.1 trillion to $2.4 trillion in cuts over that time. S&P said it was also concerned about the ability of Congress to implement those cuts because of the division between Republicans and Democrats.

"Right now, the markets don't believe anybody anywhere and the uncertainty premium is very high. Since the end of World War I, the United States has been an unquestioned AAA credit, until now," said David Kotok, chairman and chief investment officer of Cumberland Advisors.

Investors are worried about debt not only because countries and many people are overwhelmed by it. Debt is what financed economic growth for decades. Now countries and people are cutting back on debt - deleveraging is what economists call that process - and that means economic growth in the future will be slower. Economists had widely expected the US economy to pick up in the second half of the year after its soft patch in the spring. But the stock market, which looks six to nine months ahead, doesn't see an improvement until well into 2012.

They may get more insight on Tuesday. The Federal Reserve holds a regularly scheduled meeting on the economy and interest rates. It's expected the central bank will state that interest rates will need to remain at their current low levels for at least another year.

Even with this bleak outlook, some analysts see a chance for stocks to rise, at least in the short run.

The stock market could recover next week if European leaders make progress in averting another debt crisis in that region, said Ryan Detrick, senior technical strategist at Schaeffer's Investment Research.

Still, even if stocks do rise, there are so many economic and political problems to be resolved that any rally may well be very short-lived.

主站蜘蛛池模板: 综合第一页 | 亚洲免费一级片 | 国产一区二区播放 | 成人免费网址 | 成人免费网站视频 | 欧美亚洲视频 | 亚洲九九夜夜 | 91精品国产乱码久久久久久久久 | 97超碰网 | 国产精品日韩一区二区 | 国产午夜精品久久久 | 在线观看精品一区 | 懂色av一区二区三区四区 | 国产成人精品免费看在线播放 | 一路向西在线播放 | 久久爱伊人 | 麻豆av一区 | 国产精品一区二区视频 | 中文字幕成人网 | 91黄色免费 | 韩国av毛片 | 国产精品乱 | 久草视频手机在线 | 精品看片 | 国产成人自拍偷拍 | 色综合久| 天天摸天天操天天干 | 成人免费视频一区二区 | 性高潮久久久久久久 | 国产一区欧美 | 日韩精品在线视频 | 国产一区99| 超碰伊人 | 天天射一射 | 青青青草视频在线 | 都市激情自拍偷拍 | 亚洲精品日韩欧美 | 国产成人精品777777 | 好吊色在线观看 | 人人超碰人人 | 中国免费黄色 |