日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Opinion
Home / Opinion / From the Press

China's consumption growth potential to beat expectations

Xinhua | Updated: 2019-04-09 08:12
Share
Share - WeChat

Market observers are seeing more upside than expected in China's economy with more signs of stabilizing in the first quarter and the consumption driver revving up.

While official data including trade and inflation of March are yet to be released for this week, market sentiment has already been buoyed by positive indicators that are playing down concerns over uncertainties in the world's second-largest economy.

Snapshots of the January-February period pointed to a pick-up in investment, stable consumer spending and optimized industrial structure, and more obvious recovery has been identified in March with steady factory and service sector activities.

Consumption, a locomotive of China's economic growth, is picked by many analysts as one of the bright spots of recovering fundamentals.

Swiss global financial services company UBS said China's consumption may stay more resilient than forecast as tax cuts, credit easing and confidence improving help to offset the not-so-strong headwinds of labor market weakness and property slowdown.

"Personal income tax (PIT) cuts and value-added tax (VAT) cuts should be positive for consumption," UBS economist Wang Tao said. "PIT cuts are expected to be over 300 billion yuan (about 44.6 billion U.S. dollars) in 2019."

"Some of the VAT cuts should be passed through to consumers as final goods prices are lowered, and this can help encourage more demand," he said. "Moreover, import tariffs and VAT have been lowered, including that for cross-border-e-commerce businesses, to reduce the price for domestic consumers."

The UBS said the improvement in domestic demand may have underpinned China's import growth, predicting an improvement in import growth for March despite a high base last year.

Investment banking firm CICC also believes there are reasons to become incrementally more optimistic on overall consumption growth in China, especially compared with last year.

A marked downturn in retail sales may have spooked some market watchers given the heft of consumption in driving China's economy, but worries for a continuous slowdown could be overblown.

"Leading indicators point to a potential stabilization of nominal growth in China, which is supportive to overall discretionary consumption growth," the CICC said.

Household disposable income growth may accelerate, and the labor market has shown early signs of stabilization, with the operating environment of the small- and medium-sized enterprises improving, it said.

On Sunday, the country unveiled a new guideline to facilitate the sound development of SMEs with more efforts to address problems such as rising costs and financing difficulties.

"The upcoming sizable reductions of VAT and payroll tax rates are expected to promote the growth of employment and consumer purchasing power even further," the CICC said.

While weaker auto sales contributed to about three-quarters of the slowdown in headline retail sales growth last year, the sector is expected to bottom soon. UBS analyst thinks auto sales growth will likely bottom in Q1 and turn positive sometime in Q3.

Also, mass consumption upgrade will likely continue with the expected improvement of income distribution this year, the UBS said. "Staples consumption may also pick up, on the back of stabilized labor market and potential upside in the consumer price index."

Most Viewed in 24 Hours
Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1994 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
主站蜘蛛池模板: 91国精产品| 精品视频久久久 | 99久久婷婷国产综合精品草原 | 亚洲欧美日韩激情 | 亚洲精品视频免费看 | 亚洲999 | 91变态视频| 99热中文 | 久久久久久久中文字幕 | 国产婷婷色一区二区三区在线 | 成人性视频在线播放 | 亚洲一级一区 | 美女网站在线看 | 欧美久久久久久久久久久久 | 国产女18毛片多18精品 | 日韩一级免费毛片 | 玖玖精品在线视频 | av亚洲一区 | 日韩视频三区 | 日韩精品网 | 深夜福利久久 | 韩日免费视频 | 日韩一区二区三区四区五区六区 | 中文字幕精品一区久久久久 | 韩国精品久久久 | av在线成人 | 欧美精品网址 | 97成人免费视频 | 黄色欧美视频 | a国产视频 | 中文字幕导航 | 国产黄色一区二区 | 亚洲精品影片 | 亚洲第一视频在线 | 激情视频一区二区三区 | 亚洲无打码 | 国产精品午夜影院 | 日本中文字幕在线观看 | 亚洲综合影院 | 91精品啪在线观看国产 | 国内一区二区 |